Scopula incanata
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
Scopula incanata is a species of moth in the family Geometridae. It is found from north-eastern Europe and the Caucasus to southern Siberia and northern Mongolia. The wingspan is 25–28 mm. Adults are on wing from late July to August in one generation per year.
The larvae feed on Thymus and Polygonum species. Larvae can be found from August to May. It overwinters in the larval stage. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanoise National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Scopula incanata sighting in Vanoise National Park on a given day, based on 23 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 168th most-seen of the 308 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Scopula incanata in Vanoise National Park on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months.
Between 11 pm and 2 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Scopula incanata sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Yes
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Scopula incanata sightings, Vanoise National Park has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Pyrénées National Park (France, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Scopula incanata is recorded against all the insects logged in Vanoise National Park (23 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
