Hedya nubiferana
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~50%
Hedya nubiferana, the marbled orchard tortrix or green budworm moth, is a moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found in the Palearctic and Nearctic realms. The wingspan is 15–21 mm. The forewing ground colour is grey-brown.There is a square, basal black spot, and just distal to this a more or less clear, light-grey cross-band. At the wing tip there is a wide, snow-white cross-band (similar to the white uric acid in bird excrement). The hindwings are thinly shelled, light grey-brown with brown veins.
The moth flies from May to August.[1] The larvae feed on hawthorn (Crataegus species) and blackthorn (Prunus spinosa). Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Amsterdam | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 4 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 5 | Kyiv | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | |
| 6 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 7 | Brussels | 🇧🇪 Belgium | |
| 8 | Vienna | 🇦🇹 Austria | |
| 9 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 10 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Green Budworm Moth sighting in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, based on 18 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 269th most-seen of the 1115 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Green Budworm Moth in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, against under 5% in August to March, the lowest months.
Between 6 and 9 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Green Budworm Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
Yes
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Green Budworm Moth sightings, Bavarian Forest National Park has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Wadden Sea National Park (Germany, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Green Budworm Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Bavarian Forest National Park (18 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
