What are the chances of seeing a Little Ermel in Bavarian Forest National Park?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Little Ermel sighting in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 964th most-seen of the 1115 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Little Ermel in Bavarian Forest National Park?
May and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Little Ermel in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, against under 5% in June–July and September–April, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Little Ermel?
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Little Ermel sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Where else can you see a Little Ermel?
Only Bavarian Forest National Park, in our data
Bavarian Forest National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Little Ermel sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Little Ermel live in Bavarian Forest National Park?
Same family: Yponomeutidae
The closest relatives of the Little Ermel that you can see in Bavarian Forest National Park (family Yponomeutidae, Ermine Moths) are Bird-Cherry Ermine (about 10%) and Black-Tipped Ermine (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Little Ermel sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Little Ermel is recorded against all the insects logged in Bavarian Forest National Park (6 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.