Yponomeuta evonymella
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
The bird-cherry ermine (Yponomeuta evonymella) is a species of moth in the family Yponomeutidae, the ermine moths. The wingspan of the moth ranges from 16 to 25 mm. The insect was first described in 1758 by the Swedish naturalist Carl Linnaeus who gave it the name Phalaena evonymella; it was later transferred to the genus Yponomeuta, becoming Yponomeuta evonymella. The moth can be found in almost the whole of Europe and the northern and eastern part of Asia.
The adult bird-cherry ermine is a distinctive moth with a wingspan of between 16 and 25 mm (0.6 and 1.0 in). The forewings are white with five longitudinal rows of small black spots. The hind wings are a smoky brown colour, with a dark edging. They are wider and shorter than the forewings. The fine, thread-like antennae reach two-thirds of the length of the wings. When the moths are resting, the wings are rolled and placed close to the body, so that the insect looks almost tubular. At the slightest disturbance, the moths skip away and skilfully drop to the ground.
This species may be found in almost the whole of Europe from the river lowlands to the deciduous forest border in alluvial... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Cairngorms National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Copenhagen | 🇩🇰 Denmark | |
| 5 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Stockholm | 🇸🇪 Sweden | |
| 7 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 8 | Amsterdam | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 9 | Kyiv | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | |
| 10 | Essen | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Bird-Cherry Ermine sighting in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, based on 30 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 144th most-seen of the 1115 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Bird-Cherry Ermine in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, against under 5% in October to March, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Bird-Cherry Ermine sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Yes
Of the 3 parks where we can rate Bird-Cherry Ermine sightings, Bavarian Forest National Park has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Cairngorms National Park (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Wadden Sea National Park (Germany, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Bird-Cherry Ermine is recorded against all the insects logged in Bavarian Forest National Park (30 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
