Occidryas chalcedona
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joshua Tree National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Parks | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Yosemite National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Channel Islands National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Los Angeles | 🇺🇸 United States |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Checkerspot sighting in Channel Islands National Park on a given day, based on 20 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 53rd most-seen of the 131 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Checkerspot in Channel Islands National Park on a given day, against under 5% in May and July–January, the lowest months. That is one of Channel Islands National Park's wettest months, with about 60 mm of rain against almost none in July.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Variable Checkerspot sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
4th of 4
Of the 4 parks where we can rate Variable Checkerspot sightings, Channel Islands National Park ranks 4th at about 10%. The best odds are in Joshua Tree National Park (United States, about 30%), Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Parks (United States, about 10%) and Yosemite National Park (United States, about 10%).
Same family: Nymphalidae
The closest relatives of the Variable Checkerspot that you can see in Channel Islands National Park (family Nymphalidae, Brush-footed Butterflies) are Monarch (about 30%), West Coast Lady (about 30%) and American Lady (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Variable Checkerspot is recorded against all the insects logged in Channel Islands National Park (20 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
