Nyctia lugubris
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athens | 🇬🇷 Greece |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Nyctia lugubris sighting in Athens on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 198th most-seen of the 242 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January and March–April
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Nyctia lugubris in Athens on a given day, against under 5% in February and May–December, the lowest months.
Only Athens, in our data
Athens is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Nyctia lugubris sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Nyctia lugubris is recorded against all the insects logged in Athens (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
