Muscina stabulans
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Muscina stabulans (formerly Curtonevra stabulans), commonly known as the false stable fly, is a fly from the family Muscidae. As an adult, Muscina stabulans has partially reddish-brown legs, four characteristic dark stripes along the thorax region, and a pale spot above the thorax. These flies average 8 millimeters (0.3 inches) in length. The abdomen is either entirely black or black with red sides. Its head ranges in color from a dark-grey to a whitish hue. Circular spiracular plates can be found separated by about one plate's width in the posterior area.
Larvae are dullish-white in colour, 6–7 mm long and 1–1.5 mm wide. They consist of 11 segments, with all but the last having a belt of small, well-developed spines going towards the posterior margins. The pseudo-cephalic segment has two hooks. The posterior spiracles have curved spiracular slits.
The false stable fly was found in a study determining synanthropy (ecological association with humans) of adult Muscidae collected in urban, rural and natural environments in Valdivia, Chile. According to the study, M. stabulans are mostly found in rural and natural neighborhoods, and rarely inhabit cities... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guiyang | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 2 | Athens | 🇬🇷 Greece | |
| 3 | Lima | 🇵🇪 Peru | |
| 4 | Buenos Aires | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 5 | Beijing | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 6 | Vienna | 🇦🇹 Austria | |
| 7 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 8 | Lisbon | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 9 | Yekaterinburg | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 10 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a False Stable Fly sighting in Athens on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 70th most-seen of the 242 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
December
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a False Stable Fly in Athens on a given day, against under 5% in February, May–June and August–October, the lowest months. That is one of Athens's wettest months, with about 85 mm of rain against 10 mm in August.
2nd of 13
Of the 13 cities where we can rate False Stable Fly sightings, Athens ranks 2nd at about 10%. The best odds are in Guiyang (China, about 30%).
Same order: Diptera
The closest relatives of the False Stable Fly that you can see in Athens (order Diptera, Flies) are Bathroom Moth Fly (about 10%), Common Drone Fly (about 10%) and Stripe-Eyed Lagoon Fly (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the False Stable Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Athens (15 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
