Acronicta afflicta
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Acronicta afflicta, the afflicted dagger moth, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in Canada (Nova Scotia, Quebec and Ontario), the United States (including Alabama, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Georgia, Maryland, New York and Ohio) as well as northern Mexico.
The wingspan is about 36 mm. Adults are on wing from May to September depending on the location. The larvae feed on various Quercus species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Dallas | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Houston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Afflicted Dagger sighting in Austin on a given day, based on 39 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 588th most-seen of the 1624 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March and June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Afflicted Dagger in Austin on a given day, against under 5% in April–May and July–February, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Afflicted Dagger sightings, Austin has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Dallas (United States, under 5%) and Houston (United States, under 5%).
Same genus: Acronicta
The closest relatives of the Afflicted Dagger that you can see in Austin (genus Acronicta, Dagger Moths) are Hackberry Dagger (about 10%), Acronicta tota (about 10%) and Delightful Dagger (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Afflicted Dagger is recorded against all the insects logged in Austin (39 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
