What are the chances of seeing a Carmenta armasata in Austin?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Carmenta armasata sighting in Austin on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 1205th most-seen of the 1624 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Carmenta armasata in Austin?
October
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Carmenta armasata in Austin on a given day, against under 5% in November to September, the lowest months.
Is Austin the best place to see a Carmenta armasata?
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Carmenta armasata sightings, Austin ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in San Antonio (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Carmenta armasata sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Carmenta armasata is recorded against all the insects logged in Austin (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.