Cyclophora packardi
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Cyclophora packardi, Packard's wave moth or Packard's wave, is a moth in the family Geometridae. It is found in North America, from Maine to Florida, west to Texas and north to Iowa and Ohio. The wingspan is 17–23 mm. The wings are yellowish to orangish-brown. Adults are on wing from April/May to September.
The larvae possibly feed on Comptonia and/or Quercus species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Baltimore | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Houston | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Packard's Wave sighting in Austin on a given day, based on 27 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 703rd most-seen of the 1624 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Packard's Wave in Austin on a given day, against under 5% in November to August, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Packard's Wave sightings, Austin ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Dallas (United States, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Packard's Wave is recorded against all the insects logged in Austin (27 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
