What are the chances of seeing a Carolinian Elegant in Baltimore?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Carolinian Elegant sighting in Baltimore on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 217th most-seen of the 705 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Carolinian Elegant in Baltimore?
February and June–September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Carolinian Elegant in Baltimore on a given day, against under 5% in March–May and October–January, the lowest months.
Is Baltimore the best place to see a Carolinian Elegant?
Yes
Of the 10 cities where we can rate Carolinian Elegant sightings, Baltimore has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Washington (United States, under 5%) and Austin (United States, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Carolinian Elegant live in Baltimore?
Same family: Syrphidae
The closest relatives of the Carolinian Elegant that you can see in Baltimore (family Syrphidae, Hover Flies) are Margined Calligrapher (about 10%), Eastern Calligrapher (about 10%) and Transverse-Banded Flower Fly (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Carolinian Elegant sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Carolinian Elegant is recorded against all the insects logged in Baltimore (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.