Xanthorhoe designata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Xanthorhoe designata, the flame carpet, is a moth of the genus Xanthorhoe in the family Geometridae. The species was first described by Johann Siegfried Hufnagel in 1767. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Cairngorms National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 5 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Flame Carpet sighting in Birmingham on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 289th most-seen of the 811 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May–June and August–September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Flame Carpet in Birmingham on a given day, against under 5% in July and October–April, the lowest months.
Between 7 and 10 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Flame Carpet sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
3rd of 6
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Flame Carpet sightings, Birmingham ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%) and Manchester (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Flame Carpet is recorded against all the insects logged in Birmingham (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
