Argyrotaenia pinatubana
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~50%
Argyrotaenia pinatubana, the pine tube moth, is a species of moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found in eastern North America, from Canada south to Florida and west to Wisconsin. The wingspan is 12–17 mm. There are two generations per each year.
The larvae mainly feed on Pinus strobus. They are pale green larvae and can reach a length of about 12 mm. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Chicago | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Toronto | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 4 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Pine Tube Moth sighting in Boston on a given day, based on 150 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 103rd most-seen of the 1200 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
December
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Pine Tube Moth in Boston on a given day, against under 5% in May to September, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Pine Tube Moth sightings, Boston has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Chicago (United States, under 5%) and Toronto (Canada, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Pine Tube Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Boston (150 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
