Manduca afflicta
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Manduca afflicta is a moth of the family Sphingidae known from Cuba and the Bahamas. It is similar to Manduca sexta. Adults feed on nectar from flowers. The larvae have been recorded feeding on Cestrum diurnum, the day-blooming jessamine, a member of the family Solanaceae. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio de Janeiro | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 2 | Buenos Aires | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 3 | São Paulo | 🇧🇷 Brazil |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Manduca afflicta sighting in Buenos Aires on a given day, based on 27 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 247th most-seen of the 558 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February–March and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Manduca afflicta in Buenos Aires on a given day, against under 5% in April–October and December–January, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Manduca afflicta sightings, Buenos Aires ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Rio de Janeiro (Brazil, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Manduca afflicta is recorded against all the insects logged in Buenos Aires (27 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
