What are the chances of seeing an Afrophloeus spathulatus in Cape Town?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Afrophloeus spathulatus sighting in Cape Town on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 291st most-seen of the 311 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Afrophloeus spathulatus in Cape Town?
July
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Afrophloeus spathulatus in Cape Town on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months. That is one of Cape Town's wettest months, with about 120 mm of rain against 15 mm in February.
Where else can you see an Afrophloeus spathulatus?
Only Cape Town, in our data
Cape Town is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Afrophloeus spathulatus sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Afrophloeus spathulatus live in Cape Town?
Same family: Curculionidae
The closest relatives of the Afrophloeus spathulatus that you can see in Cape Town (family Curculionidae, True Weevils) are Gardenbane Weevil (about 10%), Polyphagous Shot Hole Borer (about 10%) and Garden Weevil (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Afrophloeus spathulatus sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Afrophloeus spathulatus is recorded against all the insects logged in Cape Town (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.