Nyctemera adversata
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
Nyctemera adversata, the marbled white moth, is a moth of the family Erebidae first described by Johann Gottlieb Schaller in 1788. It is found in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Myanmar, China territories like Tibet, Sichuan, Yunnan, Guangdong, Hong Kong, Hainan, Guangxi, Hunan, Henan, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Fujian, Taiwan, Japan (northern part of Honshu Island), Peninsular Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia (Sumatra, Java and Borneo) Philippines.
Nyctemera adversata is a day-flying species. The larvae feed on Erechtites, Erigeron, Gynura, Picris, and Senecio species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doi Inthanon National Park | 🇹🇭 Thailand | |
| 2 | Taroko National Park | 🇹🇼 Taiwan | |
| 3 | Khao Yai National Park | 🇹🇭 Thailand | |
| 4 | Kaeng Krachan National Park | 🇹🇭 Thailand |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Nyctemera adversata sighting in Changsha on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 32nd most-seen of the 56 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Nyctemera adversata in Changsha on a given day, against under 5% in December to September, the lowest months. That is one of Changsha's driest months, with about 70 mm of rain against 240 mm in June.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Nyctemera adversata sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
7th of 14
Of the 14 cities where we can rate Nyctemera adversata sightings, Changsha ranks 7th at about 10%. The best odds are in Kathmandu (Nepal, about 40%), Kunming (China, about 10%) and Chengdu (China, about 10%).
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Nyctemera adversata that you can see in Changsha (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Asian Comma (about 30%), Common Bluebottle (about 30%) and Common Mormon Swallowtail (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Nyctemera adversata is recorded against all the insects logged in Changsha (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
