Toxonevra superba
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Toxonevra superba, also known as the antlered flutter fly, is a species of flutter fly in the family Pallopteridae. The species is native to eastern North America. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toronto | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 2 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Baltimore | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Edmonton | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 5 | Calgary | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 6 | Montreal | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 7 | Philadelphia | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 8 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 9 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | Chicago | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Antlered Flutter Fly sighting in Chicago on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 706th most-seen of the 978 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Antlered Flutter Fly in Chicago on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Among the best
Of the 10 cities where we can rate Antlered Flutter Fly sightings, Chicago ranks 10th at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Toronto (Canada, under 5%), Washington (United States, under 5%) and Baltimore (United States, under 5%).
Same order: Diptera
The closest relatives of the Antlered Flutter Fly that you can see in Chicago (order Diptera, Flies) are Margined Calligrapher (about 10%), Narrow-Headed Marsh Fly (about 10%) and Common Picture-Winged Fly (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Antlered Flutter Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Chicago (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
