What are the chances of seeing a Calycomyza flavinotum in Chicago?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Calycomyza flavinotum sighting in Chicago on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 669th most-seen of the 978 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Calycomyza flavinotum in Chicago?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Calycomyza flavinotum in Chicago on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Chicago the best place to see a Calycomyza flavinotum?
Among the best
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Calycomyza flavinotum sightings, Chicago ranks 4th at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (United States, under 5%), Toronto (Canada, under 5%) and New York City (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Calycomyza flavinotum sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Calycomyza flavinotum is recorded against all the insects logged in Chicago (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.