What are the chances of seeing a Pavlovski's Monopis Moth in Chicago?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Pavlovski's Monopis Moth sighting in Chicago on a given day, based on 28 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 347th most-seen of the 978 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Pavlovski's Monopis Moth in Chicago?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Pavlovski's Monopis Moth in Chicago on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Chicago the best place to see a Pavlovski's Monopis Moth?
4th of 6
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Pavlovski's Monopis Moth sightings, Chicago ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Baltimore (United States, about 10%), Boston (United States, under 5%) and Toronto (Canada, under 5%).
Where does the Pavlovski's Monopis Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Pavlovski's Monopis Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Chicago (28 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.