Cyclophora packardi
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Cyclophora packardi, Packard's wave moth or Packard's wave, is a moth in the family Geometridae. It is found in North America, from Maine to Florida, west to Texas and north to Iowa and Ohio. The wingspan is 17–23 mm. The wings are yellowish to orangish-brown. Adults are on wing from April/May to September.
The larvae possibly feed on Comptonia and/or Quercus species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Baltimore | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Houston | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Packard's Wave sighting in Dallas on a given day, based on 53 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 350th most-seen of the 1412 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Packard's Wave in Dallas on a given day, against under 5% in July–August and October–May, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Packard's Wave sightings, Dallas has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Austin (United States, under 5%) and Baltimore (United States, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Packard's Wave is recorded against all the insects logged in Dallas (53 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
