What are the chances of seeing a Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer in Edmonton?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer sighting in Edmonton on a given day, based on 27 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 103rd most-seen of the 390 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer in Edmonton?
February, April, June and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer in Edmonton on a given day, against under 5% in March, May, July–September and November–January, the lowest months.
Is Edmonton the best place to see a Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer?
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer sightings, Edmonton has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Calgary (Canada, under 5%) and Vancouver (Canada, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer live in Edmonton?
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer that you can see in Edmonton (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Mourning Cloak (about 30%), Forest Tent Caterpillar Moth (about 20%) and Northern Azure (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Narrow Lichen Case-Bearer is recorded against all the insects logged in Edmonton (27 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.