What are the chances of seeing a Hoplitimyia mutabilis in Fortaleza?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Hoplitimyia mutabilis sighting in Fortaleza on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 69th most-seen of the 112 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Hoplitimyia mutabilis in Fortaleza?
October and December
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Hoplitimyia mutabilis in Fortaleza on a given day, against under 5% in March, May–July and November, the lowest months. Those are among Fortaleza's driest months, with about 20 mm of rain a month against 240 mm in April.
Is Fortaleza the best place to see a Hoplitimyia mutabilis?
Yes
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Hoplitimyia mutabilis sightings, Fortaleza has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Austin (United States, under 5%) and Houston (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Hoplitimyia mutabilis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Hoplitimyia mutabilis is recorded against all the insects logged in Fortaleza (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.