What are the chances of seeing a Celenna festivaria in Hong Kong?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Celenna festivaria sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 72 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 148th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Celenna festivaria in Hong Kong?
November to July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Celenna festivaria in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in August to October, the lowest months.
Is Hong Kong the best place to see a Celenna festivaria?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Celenna festivaria sightings, Hong Kong has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Taipei (Taiwan, under 5%) and Singapore (Singapore, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Celenna festivaria live in Hong Kong?
Same family: Geometridae
The closest relatives of the Celenna festivaria that you can see in Hong Kong (family Geometridae, Geometer Moths) are False Tiger Moth (about 30%), Milionia basalis (about 10%) and Orange Magpie Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Celenna festivaria sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Celenna festivaria is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (72 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.