What are the chances of seeing an Orange Magpie Moth in Hong Kong?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orange Magpie Moth sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 172 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 59th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Orange Magpie Moth in Hong Kong?
April and May
In those months about 30% of wildlife watchers report an Orange Magpie Moth in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in July to February, the lowest months.
Where else can you see an Orange Magpie Moth?
Only Hong Kong, in our data
Hong Kong is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Orange Magpie Moth sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Orange Magpie Moth live in Hong Kong?
Same family: Geometridae
The closest relatives of the Orange Magpie Moth that you can see in Hong Kong (family Geometridae, Geometer Moths) are False Tiger Moth (about 30%), Milionia basalis (about 10%) and Asian Cross-Lined Wave Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Orange Magpie Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orange Magpie Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (172 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.