What are the chances of seeing a Ceracris fasciata in Hong Kong?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Ceracris fasciata sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 54 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 197th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Ceracris fasciata in Hong Kong?
August
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Ceracris fasciata in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in December to June, the lowest months. That is one of Hong Kong's wettest months, with about 220 mm of rain against 25 mm in December.
Is Hong Kong the best place to see a Ceracris fasciata?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Ceracris fasciata sightings, Hong Kong has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Tuen Mun (China, about 10%) and Guangzhou (China, about 10%).
Where does the Ceracris fasciata sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ceracris fasciata is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (54 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.