What are the chances of seeing a Ceracris nigricornis in Hong Kong?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Ceracris nigricornis sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 109 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 164th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Ceracris nigricornis in Hong Kong?
October and November
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Ceracris nigricornis in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in January to June, the lowest months. Those are among Hong Kong's driest months, with about 40 mm of rain a month against 280 mm in June.
What time of day is best to see a Ceracris nigricornis?
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Ceracris nigricornis sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Hong Kong the best place to see a Ceracris nigricornis?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Ceracris nigricornis sightings, Hong Kong has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Tuen Mun (China, about 10%) and Guangzhou (China, under 5%).
Where does the Ceracris nigricornis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ceracris nigricornis is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (109 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.