What are the chances of seeing an Eastern Horse Cicada in Hong Kong?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Eastern Horse Cicada sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 925th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Eastern Horse Cicada in Hong Kong?
June
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Eastern Horse Cicada in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in July to May, the lowest months. That is one of Hong Kong's wettest months, with about 280 mm of rain against 25 mm in December.
Is Hong Kong the best place to see an Eastern Horse Cicada?
25th of 25
Of the 25 cities where we can rate Eastern Horse Cicada sightings, Hong Kong ranks 25th at under 5%. The best odds are in Nanchang (China, about 50%), Tianjin (China, about 40%) and Shantou (China, about 30%).
Where does the Eastern Horse Cicada sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Eastern Horse Cicada is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.