What are the chances of seeing a Mogannia nasalis in Hong Kong?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Mogannia nasalis sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 12 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 648th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Mogannia nasalis in Hong Kong?
May and June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Mogannia nasalis in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in July to April, the lowest months. Those are among Hong Kong's wettest months, with about 250 mm of rain a month against 25 mm in December.
Is Hong Kong the best place to see a Mogannia nasalis?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Mogannia nasalis sightings, Hong Kong ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Tuen Mun (China, under 5%).
Where does the Mogannia nasalis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mogannia nasalis is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (12 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.