What are the chances of seeing a Ligyra tantalus in Hong Kong?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Ligyra tantalus sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 925th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Ligyra tantalus in Hong Kong?
October
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Ligyra tantalus in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in November to September, the lowest months. That is one of Hong Kong's driest months, with about 50 mm of rain against 280 mm in June.
Is Hong Kong the best place to see a Ligyra tantalus?
4th of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Ligyra tantalus sightings, Hong Kong ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Jakarta (Indonesia, about 10%), Tokyo (Japan, about 10%) and Tuen Mun (China, about 10%).
Where does the Ligyra tantalus sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ligyra tantalus is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.