What are the chances of seeing a Plusiopalpa adrasta in Hong Kong?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Plusiopalpa adrasta sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 1005th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Plusiopalpa adrasta in Hong Kong?
June and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Plusiopalpa adrasta in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in July and September–May, the lowest months. Those are among Hong Kong's wettest months, with about 250 mm of rain a month against 25 mm in December.
Is Hong Kong the best place to see a Plusiopalpa adrasta?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Plusiopalpa adrasta sightings, Hong Kong ranks 3rd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Tuen Mun (China, under 5%) and Kochi (India, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Plusiopalpa adrasta live in Hong Kong?
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Plusiopalpa adrasta that you can see in Hong Kong (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Flammona trilineata (about 10%), Oriental Leafworm Moth (about 10%) and Cerynea discontenta (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Plusiopalpa adrasta sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Plusiopalpa adrasta is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.