Spilarctia subcarnea
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Spilarctia subcarnea is a moth in the family Erebidae. It was described by Francis Walker in 1855. It is found in Nepal, China (Hong Kong, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Hubei, Sichuan, Beijing, Shandong Heilongjiang, Shaanxi, Jiangsu, Hunan, Fujian, Yunnan, Jilin, Guangdong, Dunbei, Nei Mongol, Guizhou, Gansu, Henan, Liaonin, Hebei, Shanxi, Anhui, Jiangxi, Guangxi), the Russian Far East, Korea, Japan and Taiwan. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Spilarctia subcarnea sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 583rd most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March and May
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Spilarctia subcarnea in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in April and June–February, the lowest months.
3rd of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Spilarctia subcarnea sightings, Hong Kong ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Tuen Mun (China, about 10%) and Shanghai (China, under 5%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Spilarctia subcarnea that you can see in Hong Kong (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Banyan Tussock Moth (about 20%), Orvasca subnotata (about 20%) and Zhejiang Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Spilarctia subcarnea is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (15 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
