What are the chances of seeing a Lasiocampa grandis in Jerusalem?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lasiocampa grandis sighting in Jerusalem on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 94th most-seen of the 137 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Lasiocampa grandis in Jerusalem?
October to December
In those months about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Lasiocampa grandis in Jerusalem on a given day, against under 5% in February to September, the lowest months. Those are among Jerusalem's wettest months, with about 50 mm of rain a month against almost none in August.
Where else can you see a Lasiocampa grandis?
Only Jerusalem, in our data
Jerusalem is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Lasiocampa grandis sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Where does the Lasiocampa grandis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lasiocampa grandis is recorded against all the insects logged in Jerusalem (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.