Aricia agestis
In 3 days ~60% in a week ~90%
Aricia agestis, the brown argus, is a butterfly in the family Lycaenidae. It is found throughout the Palearctic realm, north to northern Jutland (Denmark), west as far as coastal Wales and east to Siberia and the Tian Shan.
Above similar to the preceding,[ L. anteros ] deep dark brown, with strongly marked discocellular spot, especially in the male. Typical specimens have this spot black and bear red spots at the outer margin. Underside with numerous ocelli, the hindwing with a pale smear from the apex of the cell to the centre of the outer margin. From Scandinavia to the Sahara and northern India, and from the Canary Isles to... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 3 | Fertő-Hanság National Park | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 4 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 5 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Brown Argus sighting in Jerusalem on a given day, based on 22 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 13th most-seen of the 137 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 60%, and over a week to about 90%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 50% of wildlife watchers report a Brown Argus in Jerusalem on a given day, against under 5% in August to February, the lowest months. That is one of Jerusalem's driest months, with almost no rain against 90 mm in January.
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Brown Argus sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Yes
Of the 20 cities where we can rate Brown Argus sightings, Jerusalem has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Budapest (Hungary, about 20%) and Ankara (Turkey, about 10%).
Same family: Lycaenidae
The closest relatives of the Brown Argus that you can see in Jerusalem (family Lycaenidae, Gossamer-winged Butterflies) are Common Blue (about 30%), Geranium Bronze (about 30%) and Lesser Fiery Copper (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Brown Argus is recorded against all the insects logged in Jerusalem (22 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
