Forficula smyrnensis
In 3 days ~50% in a week ~80%
Forficula smyrnensis is a species of earwig in the family Forficulidae. It is mostly found in the Palearctic realm. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
No species of the same family or order lives in Jerusalem, so these are its closest relatives here: other insects.
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Smyrnean Earwig sighting in Jerusalem on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 30th most-seen of the 137 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
December
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Smyrnean Earwig in Jerusalem on a given day, against under 5% in June–August and November, the lowest months. That is one of Jerusalem's wettest months, with about 85 mm of rain against almost none in August.
Yes
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Smyrnean Earwig sightings, Jerusalem has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Izmir (Turkey, about 10%) and Sofia (Bulgaria, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Smyrnean Earwig is recorded against all the insects logged in Jerusalem (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
