Cheilomenes propinqua
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Addo Elephant National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antananarivo | 🇲🇬 Madagascar | |
| 2 | Nairobi | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 3 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 4 | Tel Aviv | 🇮🇱 Israel | |
| 5 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 6 | Harare | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | |
| 7 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cheilomenes propinqua sighting in Johannesburg on a given day, based on 43 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 29th most-seen of the 213 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February and November
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Cheilomenes propinqua in Johannesburg on a given day, against under 5% in October, the lowest month. Those are among Johannesburg's wettest months, with about 85 mm of rain a month against almost none in July.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cheilomenes propinqua sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
5th of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Cheilomenes propinqua sightings, Johannesburg ranks 5th at about 10%. The best odds are in Antananarivo (Madagascar, about 30%), Nairobi (Kenya, about 20%) and Pretoria (South Africa, about 20%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cheilomenes propinqua is recorded against all the insects logged in Johannesburg (43 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
