Conistra vaccinii
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Conistra vaccinii, the chestnut, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. The species was first described by Carl Linnaeus in 1761. It is distributed throughout Europe, North Africa and east through the Palearctic to Siberia. The species occurs on some Mediterranean islands (Balearics, Corsica, and Sardinia), in Northern Fennoscandia, and most of Europe except for southern Spain. The range extends south from Morocco in the west to Mediterranean North Africa, through Anatolia to Turkestan and Western and Central Siberia. In the German central uplands, it rises to about 1200 meters.
The wingspan is 28–36 mm. Pattern and colouring are extremely variable. The colour varies from dove grey to dark grey brown, with light brown, light red, reddish-brown to black-brown markings. This has led to the distinction of formae (forms). The apex of the front wing is slightly concave. The head and thorax are coloured mostly according to the wing colour; the abdomen is partially or completely reddish brown. The inner and outer, serrated crossbars are usually darker than the colour and more or less clearly defined. These are often white lined specimens with much darker crossbars... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a The Chestnut sighting in Liverpool on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 592nd most-seen of the 632 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January–March, August and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a The Chestnut in Liverpool on a given day, against under 5% in April–July, September–October and December, the lowest months.
Between 7 and 10 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most The Chestnut sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
4th of 9
Of the 9 cities where we can rate The Chestnut sightings, Liverpool ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in London (United Kingdom, about 10%), Helsinki (Finland, under 5%) and Prague (Czechia, under 5%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the The Chestnut that you can see in Liverpool (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Large Yellow Underwing (about 50%), Silver Υ (about 40%) and Heart And Dart (about 40%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the The Chestnut is recorded against all the insects logged in Liverpool (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
