Abrostola tripartita
In 3 days ~50% in a week ~80%
Abrostola tripartita (the spectacle) is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found throughout much of the Palearctic realm, including most of Europe (except for Iceland), as well as Russia, Siberia, the Amur region, Kyrgyzstan, and Kazakhstan. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a The Spectacle sighting in Liverpool on a given day, based on 95 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 98th most-seen of the 632 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a The Spectacle in Liverpool on a given day, against under 5% in October to March, the lowest months.
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most The Spectacle sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Yes
Of the 5 cities where we can rate The Spectacle sightings, Liverpool has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%) and London (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the The Spectacle is recorded against all the insects logged in Liverpool (95 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
