Hedya nubiferana
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Hedya nubiferana, the marbled orchard tortrix or green budworm moth, is a moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found in the Palearctic and Nearctic realms. The wingspan is 15–21 mm. The forewing ground colour is grey-brown.There is a square, basal black spot, and just distal to this a more or less clear, light-grey cross-band. At the wing tip there is a wide, snow-white cross-band (similar to the white uric acid in bird excrement). The hindwings are thinly shelled, light grey-brown with brown veins.
The moth flies from May to August.[1] The larvae feed on hawthorn (Crataegus species) and blackthorn (Prunus spinosa). Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Amsterdam | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 4 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 5 | Kyiv | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | |
| 6 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 7 | Brussels | 🇧🇪 Belgium | |
| 8 | Vienna | 🇦🇹 Austria | |
| 9 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 10 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Green Budworm Moth sighting in London on a given day, based on 71 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 433rd most-seen of the 1504 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May to July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Green Budworm Moth in London on a given day, against under 5% in August to April, the lowest months.
Between 6 and 9 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Green Budworm Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
Among the best
Of the 15 cities where we can rate Green Budworm Moth sightings, London ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Green Budworm Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in London (71 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
