What are the chances of seeing a Light Arches in Manchester?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Light Arches sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 387th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Light Arches in Manchester?
June and July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Light Arches in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in August to May, the lowest months.
Is Manchester the best place to see a Light Arches?
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Light Arches sightings, Manchester has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Liverpool (United Kingdom, under 5%) and Berlin (Germany, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Light Arches live in Manchester?
Same genus: Apamea
The closest relatives of the Light Arches that you can see in Manchester (genus Apamea) are Dark Arches (about 10%), Bordered Apamea Moth (about 10%) and Clouded-Bordered Brindle (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Light Arches sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Light Arches is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.