Limonia nubeculosa
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Limonia nubeculosa, also known as the short-palped cranefly, is a species of crane flies in the family of Limoniidae. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 2 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Rome | 🇮🇹 Italy | |
| 6 | Leeds | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 7 | Brussels | 🇧🇪 Belgium | |
| 8 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 9 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 10 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Sixspot Cranefly sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 278th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March–May and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Sixspot Cranefly in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in June–October and December–February, the lowest months.
Between 1 and 4 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Sixspot Cranefly sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Sixspot Cranefly sightings, Manchester ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Helsinki (Finland, about 10%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%).
Same order: Diptera
The closest relatives of the Sixspot Cranefly that you can see in Manchester (order Diptera, Flies) are Tapered Drone Fly (about 30%), Marmalade Hover Fly (about 30%) and Common Drone Fly (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Sixspot Cranefly is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
