What are the chances of seeing a Twenty-Plume Moth in Manchester?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Twenty-Plume Moth sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 30 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 140th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Twenty-Plume Moth in Manchester?
March–April and November
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Twenty-Plume Moth in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in August–September and December, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Twenty-Plume Moth?
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Twenty-Plume Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Is Manchester the best place to see a Twenty-Plume Moth?
3rd of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Twenty-Plume Moth sightings, Manchester ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Twenty-Plume Moth live in Manchester?
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Twenty-Plume Moth that you can see in Manchester (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Speckled Wood (about 50%), Cinnabar Moth (about 40%) and Red Admiral (about 40%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Twenty-Plume Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Twenty-Plume Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (30 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.