Megalopyge defoliata
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Megalopyge defoliata is a moth of the Megalopygidae family. It was described by Francis Walker in 1855. It is found in Mexico. The wingspan is 34 mm for males and 50 mm for females. The forewings of the males are brownish grey, with a large white spot at the base, a smaller one at the end of the cell connected with the basal spots by a white line and an outer transverse irregular white band between which and the median nervure the veins are whitish. The fringe is cream color. The hindwings are creamy with the veins and some scales at the base darker. Females are entirely smoky brown with some white scales at the base and near the apex of the forewings. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 3 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Megalopyge defoliata sighting in Mexico City on a given day, based on 54 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 131st most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Megalopyge defoliata in Mexico City on a given day, against under 5% in November to August, the lowest months. Those are among Mexico City's wettest months, with about 110 mm of rain a month against 5 mm in December.
3rd of 3
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Megalopyge defoliata sightings, Mexico City ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Toluca (México, about 10%) and Puebla (México, about 10%).
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Megalopyge defoliata that you can see in Mexico City (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Two-Tailed Swallowtail (about 40%), Green-Eyed White (about 30%) and Juno Silverspot (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Megalopyge defoliata is recorded against all the insects logged in Mexico City (54 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
