Mycalesis gotama
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
Mycalesis gotama, the Chinese bushbrown, is an East Palearctic species of satyrine butterfly found in China, Japan, Assam, Burma, the northeastern Himalayas and northern Vietnam. The larva feeds on Miscanthus sinensis, Miscanthus floridulus, Setaria palmifolia, Isachne globosa, Oryza sativa and Bambusa species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Chinese Bushbrown sighting in Nagoya on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 116th most-seen of the 195 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June and September
In those months about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Chinese Bushbrown in Nagoya on a given day, against under 5% in August and October–May, the lowest months. Those are among Nagoya's wettest months, with about 210 mm of rain a month against 75 mm in January.
Yes
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Chinese Bushbrown sightings, Nagoya has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Shanghai (China, about 10%) and Tokyo (Japan, about 10%).
Same family: Nymphalidae
The closest relatives of the Chinese Bushbrown that you can see in Nagoya (family Nymphalidae, Brush-footed Butterflies) are Tropical Fritillary (about 40%), Red Ring Skirt (about 20%) and Asian Comma (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Chinese Bushbrown is recorded against all the insects logged in Nagoya (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
