Aegosoma sinicum
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~60%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Thin-Winged Longicorn Beetle sighting in Nagoya on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 104th most-seen of the 195 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Thin-Winged Longicorn Beetle in Nagoya on a given day, against under 5% in September and November–May, the lowest months. That is one of Nagoya's wettest months, with about 230 mm of rain against 75 mm in January.
4th of 12
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Thin-Winged Longicorn Beetle sightings, Nagoya ranks 4th at about 10%. The best odds are in Tianjin (China, about 30%), Hefei (China, about 20%) and Nanjing (China, about 10%).
Same family: Cerambycidae
The closest relatives of the Thin-Winged Longicorn Beetle that you can see in Nagoya (family Cerambycidae, Longhorn Beetles) are Citrus Longhorn Beetle (about 20%), Yellow-Spotted Longicorn Beetle (about 10%) and Asian Longhorned Beetle (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Thin-Winged Longicorn Beetle is recorded against all the insects logged in Nagoya (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
