Diplognatha gagates
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Diplognatha gagates is a species of beetle belonging to the family Scarabaeidae, subfamily Cetoniinae. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garden Route National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Addo Elephant National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Harare | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | |
| 4 | Nairobi | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 5 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Large Black Nest Chafer sighting in Nairobi on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 99th most-seen of the 123 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February, April and November
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Large Black Nest Chafer in Nairobi on a given day, against under 5% in March, June–October and December–January, the lowest months. Those are among Nairobi's wettest months, with about 100 mm of rain a month against 25 mm in July.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Large Black Nest Chafer sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Large Black Nest Chafer sightings, Nairobi ranks 4th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Pretoria (South Africa, about 10%), Johannesburg (South Africa, about 10%) and Harare (Zimbabwe, about 10%).
Same family: Scarabaeidae
The closest relatives of the Large Black Nest Chafer that you can see in Nairobi (family Scarabaeidae, Scarabs) are Pachnoda ephippiata (about 30%), Boas Rhinoceros Beetle (about 10%) and Rhabdotis sobrina (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Large Black Nest Chafer is recorded against all the insects logged in Nairobi (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
