Cheilomenes propinqua
In 3 days ~50% in a week ~80%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Addo Elephant National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antananarivo | 🇲🇬 Madagascar | |
| 2 | Nairobi | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 3 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 4 | Tel Aviv | 🇮🇱 Israel | |
| 5 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 6 | Harare | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | |
| 7 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Cheilomenes propinqua sighting in Nairobi on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 18th most-seen of the 123 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and November–December
In those months about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Cheilomenes propinqua in Nairobi on a given day, against under 5% in February, June and August, the lowest months. Those are among Nairobi's wettest months, with about 95 mm of rain a month against 25 mm in July.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cheilomenes propinqua sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
2nd of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Cheilomenes propinqua sightings, Nairobi ranks 2nd at about 20%. The best odds are in Antananarivo (Madagascar, about 30%).
Same genus: Cheilomenes
The closest relatives of the Cheilomenes propinqua that you can see in Nairobi (genus Cheilomenes) are Lunate Lady Beetle (about 20%) and Sulfurous Lady Beetle (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cheilomenes propinqua is recorded against all the insects logged in Nairobi (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
