What are the chances of seeing a Carolinian Elegant in New York City?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Carolinian Elegant sighting in New York City on a given day, based on 26 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 557th most-seen of the 1623 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Carolinian Elegant in New York City?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Carolinian Elegant in New York City on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is New York City the best place to see a Carolinian Elegant?
9th of 10
Of the 10 cities where we can rate Carolinian Elegant sightings, New York City ranks 9th at under 5%. The best odds are in Baltimore (United States, about 10%), Washington (United States, under 5%) and Austin (United States, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Carolinian Elegant live in New York City?
Same family: Syrphidae
The closest relatives of the Carolinian Elegant that you can see in New York City (family Syrphidae, Hover Flies) are Eurasian Drone Fly (about 20%), Margined Calligrapher (about 10%) and Eastern Calligrapher (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Carolinian Elegant sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Carolinian Elegant is recorded against all the insects logged in New York City (26 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.