Lacanobia thalassina
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Lacanobia thalassina, the pale-shouldered brocade, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in Europe east across the Palearctic to the Russian Far East and Siberia. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Cairngorms National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 2 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 3 | Kyiv | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | |
| 4 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Pale-Shouldered Brocade sighting in Nizhny Novgorod on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 351st most-seen of the 405 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June and July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Pale-Shouldered Brocade in Nizhny Novgorod on a given day, against under 5% in August to May, the lowest months.
Between 6 and 9 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Pale-Shouldered Brocade sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Pale-Shouldered Brocade sightings, Nizhny Novgorod ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Helsinki (Finland, under 5%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Pale-Shouldered Brocade that you can see in Nizhny Novgorod (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Knot Grass Moth (about 10%), Heart And Dart (about 10%) and Silver Υ (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Pale-Shouldered Brocade is recorded against all the insects logged in Nizhny Novgorod (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
