Spilosoma dubia
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Spilosoma dubia, the dubious tiger moth, is a moth in the family Erebidae. It was described by Francis Walker in 1855. It is found from south-eastern Canada west to Alberta and in the eastern United States. The habitat consists of aspen parkland and southern boreal forests.
The wingspan is 32–38 mm. Adults are on wing from mid-May to mid-June. The larvae have been recorded feeding on Prunus serotina. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Dubious Tiger Moth sighting in Orlando on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 213th most-seen of the 294 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March and April
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Dubious Tiger Moth in Orlando on a given day, against under 5% in May to February, the lowest months. Those are among Orlando's driest months, with about 65 mm of rain a month against 210 mm in June.
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Dubious Tiger Moth sightings, Orlando ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Austin (United States, under 5%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Dubious Tiger Moth that you can see in Orlando (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Spotted Oleander Moth (about 10%) and Fir Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Dubious Tiger Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Orlando (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
