What are the chances of seeing a Carolinian Elegant in Philadelphia?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Carolinian Elegant sighting in Philadelphia on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 296th most-seen of the 632 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Carolinian Elegant in Philadelphia?
June and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Carolinian Elegant in Philadelphia on a given day, against under 5% in July–August and October–May, the lowest months.
Is Philadelphia the best place to see a Carolinian Elegant?
6th of 10
Of the 10 cities where we can rate Carolinian Elegant sightings, Philadelphia ranks 6th at under 5%. The best odds are in Baltimore (United States, about 10%), Washington (United States, under 5%) and Austin (United States, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Carolinian Elegant live in Philadelphia?
Same family: Syrphidae
The closest relatives of the Carolinian Elegant that you can see in Philadelphia (family Syrphidae, Hover Flies) are Margined Calligrapher (about 10%), Eastern Calligrapher (about 10%) and Eurasian Drone Fly (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Carolinian Elegant sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Carolinian Elegant is recorded against all the insects logged in Philadelphia (15 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.